Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 12:00 PM, 204 voters in 27 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 187,084 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 154,698 - 229,927). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 12:00 PM | 2618 |
c(2.5% = 2309)
|
c(97.5% = 2886)
|
| 02 | 12:00 PM | 4297 |
c(2.5% = 3783)
|
c(97.5% = 4706)
|
| 03 | 12:00 PM | 2359 |
c(2.5% = 1941)
|
c(97.5% = 2837)
|
| 04 | 12:00 PM | 2361 |
c(2.5% = 1913)
|
c(97.5% = 2849)
|
| 05 | 12:00 PM | 6397 |
c(2.5% = 5464)
|
c(97.5% = 7309)
|
| 06 | 12:00 PM | 1610 |
c(2.5% = 1370)
|
c(97.5% = 1934)
|
| 07 | 12:00 PM | 1573 |
c(2.5% = 871)
|
c(97.5% = 2190)
|
| 08 | 12:00 PM | 5887 |
c(2.5% = 5189)
|
c(97.5% = 6509)
|
| 09 | 12:00 PM | 2760 |
c(2.5% = 2419)
|
c(97.5% = 3140)
|
| 10 | 12:00 PM | 3427 |
c(2.5% = 2867)
|
c(97.5% = 4324)
|
| 11 | 12:00 PM | 1492 |
c(2.5% = 1193)
|
c(97.5% = 1869)
|
| 12 | 12:00 PM | 2594 |
c(2.5% = 2161)
|
c(97.5% = 3175)
|
| 13 | 12:00 PM | 2328 |
c(2.5% = 1916)
|
c(97.5% = 2879)
|
| 14 | 12:00 PM | 1043 |
c(2.5% = 901)
|
c(97.5% = 1244)
|
| 15 | 12:00 PM | 3068 |
c(2.5% = 2707)
|
c(97.5% = 3370)
|
| 16 | 12:00 PM | 1248 |
c(2.5% = 958)
|
c(97.5% = 1542)
|
| 17 | 12:00 PM | 2859 |
c(2.5% = 2341)
|
c(97.5% = 3498)
|
| 18 | 12:00 PM | 2679 |
c(2.5% = 2244)
|
c(97.5% = 2993)
|
| 19 | 12:00 PM | 1167 |
c(2.5% = 729)
|
c(97.5% = 1554)
|
| 20 | 12:00 PM | 1194 |
c(2.5% = 870)
|
c(97.5% = 1533)
|
| 21 | 12:00 PM | 6892 |
c(2.5% = 5590)
|
c(97.5% = 7864)
|
| 22 | 12:00 PM | 3677 |
c(2.5% = 3230)
|
c(97.5% = 4247)
|
| 23 | 12:00 PM | 2202 |
c(2.5% = 1691)
|
c(97.5% = 2785)
|
| 24 | 12:00 PM | 1905 |
c(2.5% = 1497)
|
c(97.5% = 2340)
|
| 25 | 12:00 PM | 1823 |
c(2.5% = 1209)
|
c(97.5% = 2454)
|
| 26 | 12:00 PM | 2632 |
c(2.5% = 2157)
|
c(97.5% = 2977)
|
| 27 | 12:00 PM | 3586 |
c(2.5% = 2391)
|
c(97.5% = 4283)
|
| 28 | 12:00 PM | 1325 |
c(2.5% = 1025)
|
c(97.5% = 1669)
|
| 29 | 12:00 PM | 1355 |
c(2.5% = 1161)
|
c(97.5% = 1611)
|
| 30 | 12:00 PM | 2774 |
c(2.5% = 2492)
|
c(97.5% = 3181)
|
| 31 | 12:00 PM | 2361 |
c(2.5% = 1943)
|
c(97.5% = 2569)
|
| 32 | 12:00 PM | 2228 |
c(2.5% = 1703)
|
c(97.5% = 2749)
|
| 33 | 12:00 PM | 1869 |
c(2.5% = 1100)
|
c(97.5% = 2565)
|
| 34 | 12:00 PM | 4948 |
c(2.5% = 4229)
|
c(97.5% = 5875)
|
| 35 | 12:00 PM | 3381 |
c(2.5% = 2503)
|
c(97.5% = 4283)
|
| 36 | 12:00 PM | 4082 |
c(2.5% = 3549)
|
c(97.5% = 4752)
|
| 37 | 12:00 PM | 1426 |
c(2.5% = 1061)
|
c(97.5% = 1778)
|
| 38 | 12:00 PM | 2490 |
c(2.5% = 2137)
|
c(97.5% = 2979)
|
| 39 | 12:00 PM | 5061 |
c(2.5% = 4057)
|
c(97.5% = 5669)
|
| 40 | 12:00 PM | 5206 |
c(2.5% = 4147)
|
c(97.5% = 6322)
|
| 41 | 12:00 PM | 2004 |
c(2.5% = 1380)
|
c(97.5% = 2717)
|
| 42 | 12:00 PM | 2592 |
c(2.5% = 1818)
|
c(97.5% = 3274)
|
| 43 | 12:00 PM | 1995 |
c(2.5% = 1304)
|
c(97.5% = 2569)
|
| 44 | 12:00 PM | 1590 |
c(2.5% = 1287)
|
c(97.5% = 1918)
|
| 45 | 12:00 PM | 2300 |
c(2.5% = 1607)
|
c(97.5% = 3055)
|
| 46 | 12:00 PM | 3078 |
c(2.5% = 2808)
|
c(97.5% = 3626)
|
| 47 | 12:00 PM | 987 |
c(2.5% = 795)
|
c(97.5% = 1203)
|
| 48 | 12:00 PM | 2323 |
c(2.5% = 1883)
|
c(97.5% = 2827)
|
| 49 | 12:00 PM | 2887 |
c(2.5% = 2340)
|
c(97.5% = 3522)
|
| 50 | 12:00 PM | 4018 |
c(2.5% = 3442)
|
c(97.5% = 4881)
|
| 51 | 12:00 PM | 2585 |
c(2.5% = 2144)
|
c(97.5% = 3189)
|
| 52 | 12:00 PM | 3174 |
c(2.5% = 2688)
|
c(97.5% = 3753)
|
| 53 | 12:00 PM | 2282 |
c(2.5% = 1667)
|
c(97.5% = 2974)
|
| 54 | 12:00 PM | 1646 |
c(2.5% = 1010)
|
c(97.5% = 2277)
|
| 55 | 12:00 PM | 2605 |
c(2.5% = 1834)
|
c(97.5% = 3524)
|
| 56 | 12:00 PM | 3827 |
c(2.5% = 2817)
|
c(97.5% = 5075)
|
| 57 | 12:00 PM | 3354 |
c(2.5% = 2504)
|
c(97.5% = 4270)
|
| 58 | 12:00 PM | 5623 |
c(2.5% = 4089)
|
c(97.5% = 7229)
|
| 59 | 12:00 PM | 2786 |
c(2.5% = 2342)
|
c(97.5% = 3322)
|
| 60 | 12:00 PM | 2205 |
c(2.5% = 1851)
|
c(97.5% = 2632)
|
| 61 | 12:00 PM | 3451 |
c(2.5% = 2747)
|
c(97.5% = 4252)
|
| 62 | 12:00 PM | 2454 |
c(2.5% = 1662)
|
c(97.5% = 3306)
|
| 63 | 12:00 PM | 3178 |
c(2.5% = 2516)
|
c(97.5% = 3925)
|
| 64 | 12:00 PM | 1776 |
c(2.5% = 1296)
|
c(97.5% = 2345)
|
| 65 | 12:00 PM | 2607 |
c(2.5% = 1997)
|
c(97.5% = 3362)
|
| 66 | 12:00 PM | 5574 |
c(2.5% = 4353)
|
c(97.5% = 7067)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:11 AM | 3103 | 151 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
| 10:00 AM | 0114 | 85 |
| 10:00 AM | 0115 | 139 |
| 10:00 AM | 0116 | 68 |
| 10:00 AM | 0117 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0118 | 121 |
| 10:00 AM | 0119 | 75 |
| 10:00 AM | 0120 | 106 |
| 10:00 AM | 0121 | 130 |
| 11:17 AM | 3943 | 119 |
| 11:00 AM | 1811 | 150 |
| 11:18 AM | 4701 | 135 |
| 11:00 AM | 3103 | 5 |
| 11:15 AM | 0526 | 175 |
| 11:00 AM | 5904 | 142 |
| 8:30 AM | 0504 | 105 |
| 11:22 AM | 1503 | 156 |
| 9:02 AM | 0120 | 63 |
| 8:10 AM | 0819 | 60 |
| 11:29 AM | 0213 | 47 |
| 9:15 AM | 0904 | 69 |
| 11:30 AM | 3914 | 140 |
| 11:30 AM | 4920 | 110 |
| 10:00 AM | 3945 | 156 |
| 11:00 AM | 0102 | 111 |
| 11:00 AM | 0108 | 105 |
| 11:00 AM | 0109 | 89 |
| 11:00 AM | 0107 | 54 |
| 11:30 AM | 0833 | 124 |
| 11:00 AM | 0104 | 120 |
| 7:50 AM | 4622 | 31 |
| 11:00 AM | 0105 | 47 |
| 11:30 AM | 1810 | 140 |
| 11:39 AM | 0834 | 106 |
| 11:32 AM | 0116 | 99 |
| 11:43 AM | 0537 | 122 |
| 11:43 AM | 0501 | 99 |
| 11:45 AM | 2702 | 88 |
| 11:40 AM | 4808 | 118 |
| 11:53 AM | 0528 | 194 |
| 11:45 AM | 1815 | 121 |
| 11:45 AM | 1816 | 192 |
| 11:45 AM | 1817 | 193 |
| 11:45 AM | 0217 | 111 |
| 11:50 AM | 3610 | 112 |
| 11:50 AM | 0217 | 112 |
| 12:00 PM | 3637 | 153 |
| 12:00 PM | 3638 | 118 |
| 9:40 AM | 0218 | 88 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions