Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 12:00 PM, 204 voters in 27 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 187,084 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 154,698 - 229,927). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 12:00 PM 2618 c(2.5% = 2309) c(97.5% = 2886)
02 12:00 PM 4297 c(2.5% = 3783) c(97.5% = 4706)
03 12:00 PM 2359 c(2.5% = 1941) c(97.5% = 2837)
04 12:00 PM 2361 c(2.5% = 1913) c(97.5% = 2849)
05 12:00 PM 6397 c(2.5% = 5464) c(97.5% = 7309)
06 12:00 PM 1610 c(2.5% = 1370) c(97.5% = 1934)
07 12:00 PM 1573 c(2.5% = 871) c(97.5% = 2190)
08 12:00 PM 5887 c(2.5% = 5189) c(97.5% = 6509)
09 12:00 PM 2760 c(2.5% = 2419) c(97.5% = 3140)
10 12:00 PM 3427 c(2.5% = 2867) c(97.5% = 4324)
11 12:00 PM 1492 c(2.5% = 1193) c(97.5% = 1869)
12 12:00 PM 2594 c(2.5% = 2161) c(97.5% = 3175)
13 12:00 PM 2328 c(2.5% = 1916) c(97.5% = 2879)
14 12:00 PM 1043 c(2.5% = 901) c(97.5% = 1244)
15 12:00 PM 3068 c(2.5% = 2707) c(97.5% = 3370)
16 12:00 PM 1248 c(2.5% = 958) c(97.5% = 1542)
17 12:00 PM 2859 c(2.5% = 2341) c(97.5% = 3498)
18 12:00 PM 2679 c(2.5% = 2244) c(97.5% = 2993)
19 12:00 PM 1167 c(2.5% = 729) c(97.5% = 1554)
20 12:00 PM 1194 c(2.5% = 870) c(97.5% = 1533)
21 12:00 PM 6892 c(2.5% = 5590) c(97.5% = 7864)
22 12:00 PM 3677 c(2.5% = 3230) c(97.5% = 4247)
23 12:00 PM 2202 c(2.5% = 1691) c(97.5% = 2785)
24 12:00 PM 1905 c(2.5% = 1497) c(97.5% = 2340)
25 12:00 PM 1823 c(2.5% = 1209) c(97.5% = 2454)
26 12:00 PM 2632 c(2.5% = 2157) c(97.5% = 2977)
27 12:00 PM 3586 c(2.5% = 2391) c(97.5% = 4283)
28 12:00 PM 1325 c(2.5% = 1025) c(97.5% = 1669)
29 12:00 PM 1355 c(2.5% = 1161) c(97.5% = 1611)
30 12:00 PM 2774 c(2.5% = 2492) c(97.5% = 3181)
31 12:00 PM 2361 c(2.5% = 1943) c(97.5% = 2569)
32 12:00 PM 2228 c(2.5% = 1703) c(97.5% = 2749)
33 12:00 PM 1869 c(2.5% = 1100) c(97.5% = 2565)
34 12:00 PM 4948 c(2.5% = 4229) c(97.5% = 5875)
35 12:00 PM 3381 c(2.5% = 2503) c(97.5% = 4283)
36 12:00 PM 4082 c(2.5% = 3549) c(97.5% = 4752)
37 12:00 PM 1426 c(2.5% = 1061) c(97.5% = 1778)
38 12:00 PM 2490 c(2.5% = 2137) c(97.5% = 2979)
39 12:00 PM 5061 c(2.5% = 4057) c(97.5% = 5669)
40 12:00 PM 5206 c(2.5% = 4147) c(97.5% = 6322)
41 12:00 PM 2004 c(2.5% = 1380) c(97.5% = 2717)
42 12:00 PM 2592 c(2.5% = 1818) c(97.5% = 3274)
43 12:00 PM 1995 c(2.5% = 1304) c(97.5% = 2569)
44 12:00 PM 1590 c(2.5% = 1287) c(97.5% = 1918)
45 12:00 PM 2300 c(2.5% = 1607) c(97.5% = 3055)
46 12:00 PM 3078 c(2.5% = 2808) c(97.5% = 3626)
47 12:00 PM 987 c(2.5% = 795) c(97.5% = 1203)
48 12:00 PM 2323 c(2.5% = 1883) c(97.5% = 2827)
49 12:00 PM 2887 c(2.5% = 2340) c(97.5% = 3522)
50 12:00 PM 4018 c(2.5% = 3442) c(97.5% = 4881)
51 12:00 PM 2585 c(2.5% = 2144) c(97.5% = 3189)
52 12:00 PM 3174 c(2.5% = 2688) c(97.5% = 3753)
53 12:00 PM 2282 c(2.5% = 1667) c(97.5% = 2974)
54 12:00 PM 1646 c(2.5% = 1010) c(97.5% = 2277)
55 12:00 PM 2605 c(2.5% = 1834) c(97.5% = 3524)
56 12:00 PM 3827 c(2.5% = 2817) c(97.5% = 5075)
57 12:00 PM 3354 c(2.5% = 2504) c(97.5% = 4270)
58 12:00 PM 5623 c(2.5% = 4089) c(97.5% = 7229)
59 12:00 PM 2786 c(2.5% = 2342) c(97.5% = 3322)
60 12:00 PM 2205 c(2.5% = 1851) c(97.5% = 2632)
61 12:00 PM 3451 c(2.5% = 2747) c(97.5% = 4252)
62 12:00 PM 2454 c(2.5% = 1662) c(97.5% = 3306)
63 12:00 PM 3178 c(2.5% = 2516) c(97.5% = 3925)
64 12:00 PM 1776 c(2.5% = 1296) c(97.5% = 2345)
65 12:00 PM 2607 c(2.5% = 1997) c(97.5% = 3362)
66 12:00 PM 5574 c(2.5% = 4353) c(97.5% = 7067)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions